Monsanto’s Newest GM Crops May Create More Problems Than They Solve


Monsanto Presents Genetically Modified Soybean Variety

Paulo Fridman/Bloomberg via Getty Images



The latest in a new generation of genetically engineered crops is poised to enter widespread use—and critics think they’ll cause more problems than they solve.


Proponents of the new cotton and soybean varieties, engineered by Monsanto to tolerate spraying with multiple herbicides, say they’re a much-needed tool. “These weed management solutions will provide farmers with more consistent, flexible control of tough-to-manage broadleaf weeds,” said Monsanto in a press release issued after the US Department of Agriculture approved the crops for use last month.


But others think the benefits will at best be short-lived. Weeds may soon become resistant to the new herbicide mixtures, resulting in new generations of ever-more-intractable weeds that will need to be controlled with yet more herbicides.


The new crops now await commercial deployment pending an ongoing review by the Environmental Protection Agency. If approved, it will “demonstrate once again that biotechnology in agriculture is all about increasing pesticide use and dependence,” said Bill Freese, a science policy analyst at the Center for Food Safety, an advocacy group that opposes the crops. In a critique of the USDA’s evaluation, Freese warned of “an era of much increased use of and dependence on pesticides.”


The cotton—technically known as MON 88701, or Bollgard II® XtendFlex™Cotton—can survive exposure to three herbicides: dicamba, glufosinate and glyphosate. The soybeans—MON 88708, or Roundup Ready 2 XtendTM Soybeans—withstand dicamba and glyphosate. The crops’ resistance means that farmers can spray entire fields of these crops with the herbicides, rather than laboriously targeting individual weeds.


Existing versions of Monsanto’s cotton and soybeans are resistant only to glyphosate, better known by its trade name of Roundup. Developed in the late 1990s, these so-called Roundup Ready varieties soon became hugely popular, now accounting for some 75 percent of all US cotton and 90 percent of soybeans.


soybean_field

United Soybean Board/Flickr



In certain ways, the Roundup Ready trait was quite beneficial. Compared to many other herbicides, glyphosate is powerful and relatively non-toxic. It was convenient to use, and saved farmers time and money. Indeed, many farmers came to rely almost exclusively on glyphosate and the Roundup Ready system for weed control—and that, say scientists, was a recipe for trouble.


Over-reliance turned America’s agricultural landscape into an evolutionary crucible of accelerated selection for any genetic mutation that helped weeds survive glyphosate. The resulting plants, often called “superweeds,” proliferated dramatically, and now infest at least 61 million acres of US farmland, an area roughly equivalent to the size of Michigan.


Their spread is sending farmers scrambling for solutions. The industry’s response has focused on making crops withstand more herbicides: first Dow’s Enlist corn and soybean varieties, designed for spraying with both glyphosate and the 2,4-D herbicide, which were federally approved last fall, and now Monsanto’s Xtend cotton and soybeans.


In reviewing genetically engineered crops, the USDA is tasked with determining whether they are “plant pests,” causing direct or indirect risks to agricultural crops and other plants. The Xtend cotton and soy varieties, said the USDA, are not: According to the agency’s final environmental impact statement, they are “unlikely to pose a plant pest risk.”


Indeed, the USDA argued that Xtend cotton and soy could have several benefits. Without them, asserted the agency, farmers fighting superweeds will increasingly practice tillage: weed-control by churning soil. That generates erosion as well as air, water and greenhouse gas pollution. Xtend mixes might also replace herbicides other than glyphosate, thus reducing their use.


The herbicide savings, however, are unclear. Though non-glyphosate herbicide applications have increased dramatically in recent years, they’re still relatively low-volume—especially in comparison to projected dicamba use in the Xtend system.


Monsanto expects Xtend will eventually account for half of all US cotton planting and 40 percent of soybeans. Dicamba application would increase 14-fold on cotton in comparison to current use rates, and 88-fold on soybeans. For the latter crop, Freese estimates that farmers will use an additional 20 million pounds of herbicides every year.


'I'm not against the use of those tools. I'm against their poor use.'


Those figures may even be conservative: as weeds gradually become harder to kill with dicamba and glufosinate, farmers could respond by using more of those herbicides. That would fuel even more resistance, and eventually turning some farmers back to soil-degrading mechanical tilling.


Erosion control is one of the last quarter-century’s unsung agricultural achievements, said Freese. Soil conservation programs enacted in the 1985 Farm Bill encouraged farmers to take erosion-prone land out of production and also to practice conservation tillage, in which crop residue remains on fields all year. As a result, annual farmland erosion slowed from 3 billion tons in 1982 to 1.9 billion tons in 1997.


Over the next decade, during Roundup Ready’s rise, soil erosion declined only minimally and now threatens to rise. That’s nominally what Xtend and other multiple herbicide-resistant crops are supposed to forestall, but “by generating still more herbicide-intractable, multiple herbicide-resistant weeds,” they’ll make tillage and soil erosion more common, predicts Freese.


In its impact statement, the USDA minimized the potential problems of weeds evolving in response to widespread glyphosate, dicamba and glufosinate use. They say resistance will likely be monitored by Monsanto, though critics like Freese note that previous company-led monitoring efforts worked poorly. And eventually resistance will emerge, wrote the USDA, but the problem isn’t herbicides in general. It’s over-reliance on just a few.


This is true, say weed scientists. A variety of weed control tactics, from different herbicide types to crop rotations and so-called cover crops that interrupt weed population cycles, are needed to keep weed evolution in check. As plants adjust to one pressure, another knocks them back.


Yet whether farmers actually will use Xtend as one of many weed-control strategies, or simply recapitulate the mistakes made with Roundup Ready crops, is a nagging question.


“If we treat these systems similar to how we treated Roundup Ready systems in the late 1990s, they will be a short-lived and temporary solution to the resistance problem,” said weed scientist Jason Norsworthy of the University of Arkansas.


Norsworthy believes Roundup’s lesson about the dangers of over-reliance was learned. “We are going to approach this with a different mindset than we did,” he said. “If you look back at what industry recommended at the time, it was: ‘Let’s rely on one herbicide, and not look at anything else!’ There’s not a company out there promoting that now. Companies and academia are strong proponents of multi-tactic resistance.”


Monsanto spokesperson Danielle Stuart pointed to the company’s involvement with the United Soybean Board’s Take Action program, which promotes balanced weed management. She noted that the company also promotes the use of so-called residual herbicides—which remain environmentally active for weeks—in addition to Roundup and eventually Xtend mixes.


According to agroecologist Bruce Maxwell of Montana State University, adding residual herbicides to the equation is potentially disastrous. Apart from environmental impacts, it increases the chances of weeds evolving all-purpose resistance. “You’re going to select the mechanisms that render all herbicides useless,” said Maxwell. “We’re already seeing more and more of these arise.”


USDA spokesperson Lyndsay Cole said the agency “recommends that farmers diversity their weed control efforts,” and noted several new programs that promote multi-tactic weed management. Freese said these are an important step, but for now a relatively small one.


Herbicide resistance specialist Stephen Powles of the University of Western Australia is also wary. Some farmers are now taking a more balanced approach, said Powles, but he fears many will over-rely on multiple herbicide-resistant crops. They’re an economically safe choice, and also a deeply engrained habit of mind.


“US growers and industry have an herbicide-only syndrome when controlling weeds in row crop agriculture,” Powles said. Changes to that mentality, Powles suspects, “will only occur after widespread herbicide failure.”


If that’s to be avoided, people need to recognize “the realities of resistance evolution threatening the ongoing efficacy of herbicide technologies,” said Powles. One very good reason: the need to keep herbicides useful. Powles called them a precious technology.


“Eventually we may find that the most sustainable kinds of systems might include some of those tools,” said Bruce Maxwell of herbicide-resistant crop traits. “I’m not against the use of those tools. I’m against their poor use. I want as big a tool chest as possible—and having all of them be effective, using them in a wise way, is ultimately where we want to go.”



15 Predictions for Tech and Design in 2015


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It’s our favorite time of year, when frogs from around the world examine the state of technology’s future. Below you’ll find 15 declarations and projections from experts whose work continually advances the human experience. This compilation forecasts a few of our expectations for the future, and we look forward to your feedback as we collectively consider what is to come.



Frog Designers


A strategic-creative consultancy that combines research, strategy, technology, and design to create products and services for Fortune 500 clients. This post originally appeared on Frog’s blog.



MOVE OVER “STEP COUNTERS”


by Allison Green Schoop


Fitness technology startups are primed to shake up the health and fitness wearable industry, offering true insights and recommendations for athletic training. 3D, pressure, and motion sensors are being integrated to assess form, movement quality, and muscular exertion to automatically log your workouts and provide real-time recommendations to prevent injury and improve training.

Companies to watch: Sensoria, Moov, LEO, GYMWatch


AMBIENT INTELLIGENCE KNOWS WHAT’S UP


by Patrick Kalaher


The introduction of Amazon Echo is just one of many examples of ambient intelligence. We’ll see a surge in products and services that quietly pay attention to what’s happening around them — learning what people do, how they sound, and what they’re interested in — all in the service of making better guesses as to what people might need or want. Prepare for a very smart, ambient world.

Companies to watch: Amazon Echo, Google Now, Microsoft Cortana


NANO PARTICLES DIAGNOSE FROM THE INSIDE OUT


by Cobie Everdell


What if our bodies could tell us we were sick, even before we felt symptoms? Nano particles, designed to live within the human body, are opening up opportunities to monitor the health of a person in real time with extreme accuracy. This emerging technology, along with other advanced diagnostics techniques, will enable instant disease detection, enabling much faster treatments and better outcomes.

Companies to watch: Google[x], Danny Hillis


THE EMERGENCE OF THE CASUAL PROGRAMMER


by Robert Tuttle


“Ubiquitous (or pervasive) computing” has become the norm as microprocessors, sensors, and cloud services made their way into almost everything in our homes, cars, offices, and beyond. It is becoming too burdensome for many connected product and service companies to deliver software that can anticipate use cases and integration points of thousands of new connected products coming to market. A shift is underway in software and service design where the command and control of this complex connected world around us will rely on “casual programming” experiences — giving every day, non-programming people the tools, services, and APIs usually reserved for the hackers and technology elite in friendly and accessible forms.

Companies to watch: IFTTT, Wink, Zapier


EAT YOUR TECHNOLOGIES


by Eric Boam


Recently, cutting edge technology has been pushing its way into the food chain. In 2015 it will finally make its way to the dinner table. From 3D printed meals to data-derived diets to efficient home farming, technology is poised to revolutionize the dinner options in a 21st century home.

Companies to watch: ChefJet, Mellow, 3D Robotics


THE INTERNET OF FOOD GOES ONLINE


by Matteo Penzo


2015 will see a new roster of connected kitchen devices that will profoundly change the way we produce, consume, and interact with food. Don’t be surprised to come home to a robot cooking pizza from original Italian recipes available on the Internet, or by making coffee (almost) out of your smartphone.

Companies to watch: My Vessyl, LG


MOBILIZING THE NEXT 4 BILLION


by Daniel McCallum


Mobile is transforming developing markets; opening access to critical services like education and healthcare, improving financial inclusion and improving the efficiency of trade. frog is at the forefront of this transformation, researching and designing mobile solutions for the underserved in a diverse range of markets. With over four billion people yet to connect to the internet, the opportunity to create meaningful impact is immense.

Companies to watch: Internet.org, Google Project Loon, GSMA mAgri


PERSONAL DARKNETS IN THE SPOTLIGHT


by Patrick Kalaher


Secure messaging had the reputation of being for shady people. But ever since a series of high-profile hacks in 2014 laid bare the private lives of several celebrities — as well as thousands of civilians — there has been massive interest in messaging (voice, text, photo, and video) that is meant to be fundamentally secure from snooping. A new set of products emerged to take up this challenge, including everything from personal data vaults, to secure encrypted calls, to video chats. Expect to see even more platforms that make it easier for you to live anonymously online.

Companies to watch: Silent Circle’s Blackphone, SpiderOak Cloud Storage, Geeksphone, DarkMail Alliance


4D PRINTING ASSEMBLES ITSELF


by Phil Salesses


Imagine a factory in the future where the parts of a product assemble themselves, or where physical objects can adapt to a user over time. For instance, a 4D-printed chair could become more comfortable over time, or become stronger at stress points, instead of breaking. What if? This is the aim of 4D printing, a field popularized by MIT’s Skylar Tibbits and his self-assembly lab. We’re on the verge of seeing explosive progress in the world of 4D printing. Expect to read about advancements in the field in the near future.

Companies to watch: http://ift.tt/IuC0QG, Stratysys


DIGITAL CURRENCY REPLACES LEGAL TENDER


by Venetia Tay


Digital currencies, including crypto-currencies, will thrive. Governments are exploring frameworks and systems to regulate and manage digital currencies, which will make their ubiquity in our everyday financial vernacular more profound. Ecuador’s Congress recently approved a reform to create a digital currency, and the New York State Department of Financial Services is considering establishing virtual currency exchanges. The UK government is calling for information about the benefits and risks of digital currencies. We can expect digital currencies to be used interchangeably with legal tender, giving birth to a frictionless, agile, universal payment system that will expand beyond the current banking ecosystem.

Companies to watch: Government of Ecuador, The UK Government, New York State Department of Financial Services


THE RISE OF COGNITIVE BEHAVIORAL THERAPY


by Steve Selzer


What if your app and wearable device could not only diagnose your sleep apnea, stress, and anxiety, but also provide clinically proven treatments? While wearable health activity trackers were all the rage in 2014, the future will see the rise of therapeutic solutions: data-tracking hardware paired with clinically proven software that simulates cognitive behavioral therapy. These new solutions will address chronic behavioral conditions, from sleep disorders to stress and anxiety.

Companies to watch: Big Health, Lantern, Olive


TEXTILES GET TECHY


by Adam Pruden


Your everyday items will be getting an upgrade. More and more companies and designers will create innovative smart textiles embedded with new technologies and sensors, which will impact everyday lives by monitoring health, behavior, and the environment. This year the hottest wearable device might just be the shirt on your back.


Companies to watch: Rochester Cloak (Invisibility Cloak), Cityzen Sciences (Smart Sensing Fabric), Grado Zero Espace


ADAPTIVE EDUCATION PERSONALIZES LEARNING


by Caroline Bone


Adaptive technologies will become omnipresent both in and out of the classroom, providing students with the ability to learn content at their own pace and potentially test out of areas when they are ready. Real-time data will lead to more actionable items for students and teachers—allowing for a personalized path to success.

Companies to watch: Knewton, Aleks, Alt School, Dreambox, Kidaptive


ACHIEVEMENT UNLOCKED: YOU’RE HIRED!


by Sheryl Cababa


Hiring is time-consuming. To save time during the hiring process in 2015, more companies will turn to video games to evaluate job candidate nuances such as creativity, problem solving, and collaboration. Candidates’ game scores will be measured against scores of successful employees, making hard data — alongside subjective opinions from hiring managers — an asset to predict success.

Companies to watch: Knack


MICRO-FARMING NETWORKS GO MAINSTREAM


by Jason Severs


Everyone will grow their own organic lettuce and trade it on a local social network for other types of vegetables. Our habits around food production and consumption are undergoing a radical shift, from wider adoption of CSAs to the prevalence of organic food, consumers are taking control of how and what they eat with new smart food technologies. Several companies are designing easy-to-use and aesthetically pleasing hydroponics and aquaponics systems for the home, which will allow anyone to manage a mini-farm with a smartphone. Greater food autonomy is on the horizon.



Review: Fitbit Charge HR




I find myself in a quandary about activity trackers. I’m already a very active person—a competitive athlete, even (I race bikes). Do I need one? How can a little rubber band help me improve my health?


A simple step tracker isn’t worth the wrist real estate. But the latest trend in wearables has piqued my interest: heart-rate tracking. Specifically, continuous, all-day heart-rate tracking that’s just as accurate when you’re sitting at your desk as when you’re jogging in the park. It’s a challenge for wearables for two big reasons: non-stop heart-rate monitoring takes a toll on device battery life; and it’s a lot more difficult to capture accurate heart rate readings from your wrist, which is often moving, than from a monitor strapped snugly across your chest.


The new Fitbit Charge HR is one of many new wearables that can read your heart rate. As your heart beats, your capillaries expand and contract due to changes in blood volume, and Fitbit’s band uses two bright green LEDs (proven in scientific studies to be more effective at monitoring heart rate than other wavelengths) to shoot light into your flesh and detect these blood volume changes beneath the skin. The lights flash continuously—by monitoring your heart rate non-stop, you can glean information like your true resting heart rate or how intense your workouts are. You can also learn when you’re getting stressed out and get a better estimate of how many calories you burn each day, which are particularly useful for maintaining or achieving weight and blood-pressure goals. Color me intrigued; I strapped one on.


The Charge HR comes with some detailed guidelines on how to ensure you’re tracking your heart rate correctly. You’re supposed to wear the band one finger width above your wrist bone, and double or triple that distance during exercise. Also, after last year’s recall of the Force wristband due to skin irritation issues, the company has explicit guidelines for keeping the device clean and dry if it gets sweaty.


I was impressed with the depth of the instructions (and also that it didn’t give me a rash), but I wasn’t as impressed with its heart-rate tracking as I’d hoped. Fitbit’s mobile app automatically breaks down heart rate into three zones: peak, cardio, and fat burn, based on the often used (and often inaccurate, and in my case extremely inaccurate) method of calculating max heart rate based on 220 minus your age. By this math, if you’re 30, your max heart rate is 190.


When walking, running, cycling at a casual pace, or at rest, the Charge HR’s heart-rate tracking seemed accurate, measuring the gamut from my resting heart rate in the low 50s to “fat burn” levels in the 130s. Above that, it got wonky. It could sometimes measure “peaks” into the 160s, but according to a heart rate strap, I spent a good amount of time in the 180s. I set a custom zone up to my actual max heart rate in the app, but it was unable to detect a heart rate that rapid. I should hedge here—my results may be an edge case, since my hummingbird heart baffles even my cycling coach. This is a problem average Fitbit users should be aware of, albiet one they may not encounter regularly.


In almost every other aspect, the Charge HR excelled. Like all Fitbits, it tracks steps, distance, calories burned, and floors climbed, which, being more experienced in this space than almost any competitor, it does with aplomb. The form is similar to that of the Charge, which came out in late 2014, but with a watch band-style clasp. The band is made of an exceedingly soft, supple rubber that feels velvety to the touch: smooth on back, textured with a diamond grid pattern on top. I really like the material, except that because it’s stiffer than a traditional watch band, it can be finicky to notch its buckle tongue into the band’s adjustment holes, and secure the end of the band into the free loop.


Fitbit’s sleep-tracking algorithms, while not incredibly detailed, are accurate. I wore the band to bed every night, and it could ascertain what time (down to the minute) I hit the sack, as well as what time I woke up. Unlike other sleep trackers, there’s no need to press a button to indicate bedtime or the morning wake-up call. In the app, it relays when you were asleep, restless, and awake in a color-coded sleep pattern graph. It’s not quite as detailed as the Microsoft Band‘s sleep analytics, which can differentiate between light, deep, and REM sleep. But it’s still useful in getting a handle of your overall sleep quality. The Charge HR takes into account motion and heartrate in its sleep analytics, unlike previous FitBits that only tracked movement.


The mobile app remains a well-designed, easy to navigate tool for looking at your data, monitoring your fitness progress, and also tracking your food intake and water consumption. I was also able to easily port that information over from MyFitnessPal, where I already do most of my tracking.


I had only one other major complaint about the Charge HR: It’s not waterproof. For a device designed for all day, everyday, and athletic wear, I want to be able to strap this thing on and leave it on until it needs to be charged. It is water resistant—that is, sweat, rain, and splash-proof—but on multiple occasions I forgot to put it back on after showering, losing over half a day’s stats. And once, I accidentally left it on in the shower (it was fine).


So back to my original quandary. This wearable is not for hardcore athletic monitoring. For that, go for something like a Garmin Forerunner 920XT or a Polar V800 and a heart-rate strap. That said, the Charge HR is a good tool for monitoring daily activity and moderate workouts, and for getting better insight into what your body is doing while you’re focused on, well, living life.


Fitbit also sells a cheaper Charge that does everything except track your heart rate. It costs $130, and the Charge HR costs $150. That extra $20 for heart-rate monitoring over the Charge? It’s a no brainer if you’re just tracking a few 5-mile runs or regular gym sessions per week. And the charts and data gathered in the Fitbit app can be enlightening, and even entertaining—you can pinpoint when you ran to catch the bus, or climbed three flights of stairs to the office (although there’s no guarantee that this novelty factor won’t eventually wear off).


While this Fitbit may not be the Cinderella slipper of my wearable dreams, I would absolutely recommend it to family and friends.



New Jurassic World Trailer Hides Improved CGI in Plain Sight


Notice how the composition has been reworked entirely to foreground the beast itself.

Notice how the composition has been reworked entirely to foreground the beast itself. Source



No matter what you think of the new Jurassic World trailer, keep one thing in mind: The movie will probably look better in theaters. Just look at how much these shots have improved in the last few months.

Back when the first Jurassic World trailer came out in November, I saw someone suggest that the dodgier bits of CGI could be cleaned up by the time the film hit theaters. So when the new teaser arrived just before the Super Bowl, I thought I’d go back and see if anything had changed. Sure enough! A scene of a humungous aquatic dinosaur leaping out of a lagoon to eat a shark has been extensively reworked. A flock of flying dinos have materialized over a panicked crowd where there were none before.


"I said more lizard bats!"

“I said more lizard bats!” Source



It’s a fascinating glimpse into modern day moviemaking, hidden in plain sight. Instead of letting the cameras roll and hoping for the best, today’s directors can build and rebuild the action over the course of months. It means what we see in trailers might well be work in progress.


Take the feeding session. It’s obviously meant to be a big set piece. Jurassic Park does Sea World—you can’t really go wrong. But notice how the money shot has been refined over the last few months. The background has been redone, with a mountain shoved to the side and a monorail erased entirely. The splash from the dino has been dialed back. It’s hide has been made darker, the water bluer. Humorously, a Facebook-esque header on one spectator’s smartphone screen has disappeared.


Cumulatively, the changes simplify the shot’s composition and foreground the beast itself. The new version is definitely an improvement. But is it perfect? Who knows. Presumably, there’s always some small thing you can do to make a shot more memorable. And there’s plenty of time to fiddle between now and summer.



New Jurassic World Trailer Hides Improved CGI in Plain Sight


Notice how the composition has been reworked entirely to foreground the beast itself.

Notice how the composition has been reworked entirely to foreground the beast itself. Source



No matter what you think of the new Jurassic World trailer, keep one thing in mind: The movie will probably look better in theaters. Just look at how much these shots have improved in the last few months.

Back when the first Jurassic World trailer came out in November, I saw someone suggest that the dodgier bits of CGI could be cleaned up by the time the film hit theaters. So when the new teaser arrived just before the Super Bowl, I thought I’d go back and see if anything had changed. Sure enough! A scene of a humungous aquatic dinosaur leaping out of a lagoon to eat a shark has been extensively reworked. A flock of flying dinos have materialized over a panicked crowd where there were none before.


"I said more lizard bats!"

“I said more lizard bats!” Source



It’s a fascinating glimpse into modern day moviemaking, hidden in plain sight. Instead of letting the cameras roll and hoping for the best, today’s directors can build and rebuild the action over the course of months. It means what we see in trailers might well be work in progress.


Take the feeding session. It’s obviously meant to be a big set piece. Jurassic Park does Sea World—you can’t really go wrong. But notice how the money shot has been refined over the last few months. The background has been redone, with a mountain shoved to the side and a monorail erased entirely. The splash from the dino has been dialed back. It’s hide has been made darker, the water bluer. Humorously, a Facebook-esque header on one spectator’s smartphone screen has disappeared.


Cumulatively, the changes simplify the shot’s composition and foreground the beast itself. The new version is definitely an improvement. But is it perfect? Who knows. Presumably, there’s always some small thing you can do to make a shot more memorable. And there’s plenty of time to fiddle between now and summer.